Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai Pick, 03/14/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 114 Odds

Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai

UFC Vegas 114

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Chris Curtis will take on Myktybek Orolbai at UFC Vegas 114 on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The line has Curtis at +250 while Orolbai is priced at -300.

Chris “Action-Man” Curtis steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 32-12-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 5’10”. The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75″. Myktybek Orolbai measures in at 5’10” and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 15-2-1. The 28-year-old has a reach of 74″. In terms of significant strikes, Chris Curtis is connecting on 5.98 per minute and Myktybek Orolbai is landing 3.24 significant strikes per min. Curtis is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Orolbai lands 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, “Action-Man” takes 6.19 significant strikes per min and Orolbai allows 3.31. Curtis also thwarts 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Orolbai is able to thwart 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of wrestling, Chris Curtis is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Curtis is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries and defending 82% of all takedown tries against him. Orolbai is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Curtis is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 0.7 submissions per 3 rds while Orolbai attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Chris Curtis went up against Max Griffin and ended up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Griffin ended up landing 63 of 185 total strikes attempted in that contest. Curtis walked away from this fight having landed 71 of 162 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Griffin landed 59 of 178, which means his percentage was 33%. He ended up landing 38 of 147 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Curtis landed 41% of his significant strikes by connecting on 64 of 155. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 44 of 132 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Griffin and 95% of them landed by Curtis were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Myktybek Orolbai, he faced off with Jack Hermansson and took home the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Hermansson ended up connecting on 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Orolbai landed 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Orolbai landed 45% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 15 of 33. He connected on 9 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hermansson connected on 19 of 38 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 9 of 25 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Hermansson was 19 of 38 while Orolbai landed 15 of 33 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Bolaji Oki battles Manoel Sousa. Oki walks into the cage holding a record of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5’10”. The orthodox fighter reaches 73″. Sousa comes in at 5’9″ and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 70″. When it comes to grappling, Bolaji Oki takes his opponents down 1.01 times per 15 min and Manoel Sousa takes his opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Oki connects for an average of 6.59 strikes/minute and is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you’ve got Manoel Sousa, who is connecting on 58% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.23 per minute.

One more can’t miss bout is when Hecher Sosa is set to encounter Luan Lacerda. Lacerda steps into the Octagon with a record of 13-3-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5’7″. The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71″. Sosa measures 5’9″ and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 70″. Concerning wrestling, Luan Lacerda is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 41% of his attempts. Sosa is finishing his takedowns on 36% of his attempts and is able to thwart 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Lacerda takes 5.79 strikes per min and he connects on 4.02 strikes/minute. Sosa, notwithstanding, is absorbing 0.87 strikes per min and lands 2.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Take Chris Curtis (+250)

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